Category Archives: AS21stC 2024

The Death of the Queen St East Urban Design Guidelines

Councillor Bradford and the Planning and Housing Committee have made it official: the Queen St E Urban Design Guidelines are a sham and they have no intention of honouring them. Regardless of those guidelines being developed 14 years ago, they still reflect the sentiment of residents, and the majority of developments that were supposed to be subject to those guidelines have violated them. Now they’re basically obsolete, if they ever were truly valid. I contend the entire process of developing the guidelines was a farce in order to stop residents challenging developments and there was never any intention of following them.

You can read my full deputation below. Councillor Bradford had absolutely nothing to say about any of the stats I brought up, in particular future supply and demand, all he could focus on was the guidelines and one out of date photo. He seemed to take the whole thing very personally, and at one point even had to be put in his place by the chair when he pounced on me and wouldn’t let me finish answering. He also tried to make a motion about my out of date photo, but that got shot down too.

Ironically he made it seem my only focus was the Lick’s condo when he was the one who couldn’t stop talking about it, while my actual concern was the current development and I only mentioned Lick’s to give context to the guidelines. Worst however, was when he projected some kind of false pretense on me, saying, “I think that comes across as misinformed at best or maybe even misleading at worst.” I’m not sure what precisely was misleading about stating the factual history and content of the guidelines and the expectation they would actually guide development. Here is Bradford’s statement with my rebuttals:

“So Adam Smith likes to come down here from time to time with good intentions, but I feel like whenever I listen to his deputations it’s always like opening up a time capsule [I’ve never before spoken of the guidelines or the history behind them until this deputation]. We talk about the Lick’s development from so many years ago, when there was a lot of ink spilled at the time about that. You know I go down to Queen St all the time, I think it looks fabulous, you know [see below for a pic of the empty brick wall]. And so when you have individuals who come down and make deputations it’s almost misleading like these guidelines from 14 years ago are the law [as part of the Official Plan they still a legal document, and as the name suggests, they are meant to GUIDE, that is their purpose], completely ignoring the planning paradigm and the provincial planning statutes that the city is statutorily required to comply with [the province has imposed many inequitable and unjust things on the city since Ford took power, it doesn’t mean we roll over and take it just because Ford says so]. Whether we like it or not we’re not living in 2012 anymore. I think that comes across as misinformed at best or maybe even misleading at worst [the only thing misleading is the guidelines themselves misleading the public]. And I don’t think that’s how we build cities [the current policy of overdensity is strangling the city], I don’t think that’s how we build community [communities are already strained with too much demand for too few services], and I don’t think it’s particularly helpful in the Beaches. So a position like that would likely come at the expense of affordable units for families, for seniors, for workers, that our community so desperately needs [we need CURRENT housing to be affordable, building new affordable housing does nothing for EXISTING tenants]. A position like that would probably come at the expense of the enhanced childcare spaces, on the work that we’re doing in the public realm [one daycare does not justify 350+ more units]. And again I remind folks, these positions and decisions that we make are difficult, but we have to consider all of the factors on front of us, try and come up with a balanced position, and one that moves the city forward, not one that’s handcuffed to a world we were living in 15 years ago [some people want to preserve their neighbourhood, and there’s nothing wrong with that!].”

The other deputant James Gray was clearly a plant, apparently he is part of the pro-development group More Neighbours. He had nothing to say other than, “I live 300m away and I support this development” so that Bradford could then lob leading questions at him.

The last deputant Mark Richardson is the creator of HousingNowTO, which uses affordable housing as thinly veiled advocacy for development in general. If Richardson advocated for fully public affordable housing (not P3s) and rolling back the loss of rent controls his stance would have more credibility; as it stands he comes off as shilling for developers to profit the housing industry under the guise of providing affordable housing.

There was an interesting moment during the first item on the agenda, about tree protection and development. A city staffer said, “Fundamentally, a tree that’s protected by the tree bylaw and it is in healthy condition, forestry staff will generally use the process to protect that tree. However, there’s been very clear direction from council in the past that if a tree would be removed as a result of development that is permitted by zoning, including zoning that’s varied as through a minor variance, that we should not stand in the way of development. We should allow that tree to be removed.” This just goes to show the development-at-any-cost ideology of council.

It really doesn’t matter what information is thrown at council that calls into question the sustainability or need for further development in our already strained city, they will rubber stamp pretty much any development. The real question is, is it because they feel it’s fruitless to resist the province and Premier Ford, because he has gamed all the laws in favour of development, or because they are in on the game?

Here is my deputation with supporting links:

Hello, my name is Adam Smith, resident of Beaches-East York. 1631 Queen E and 1080 Eastern is yet another development that makes a mockery of the Queen St E urban design guidelines.

The guidelines were a reaction to the Lakehouse Beach Residences at 1960 Queen E, aka the Lick’s condo, which saw a 6 storey condo rise up over a row of one storey retail shops, leaving a massive empty brick wall looming over the streetscape. This chicken bone development, whereby corner buildings are much larger than the buildings mid-block, used to be considered bad planning, but it seems Toronto has completely discarded what used to be good planning principles.

The guidelines intended to rein in plans at Queen and Woodbine, the Heartwood condos, aka the Shell Station, and while they were being developed there was a moratorium on development applications. The city held massive meetings with the community, planners, and developers present, and the resulting guidelines residents thought were in good faith. Then a funny thing happened.

During a short window when the guidelines were submitted but yet to be approved by council the moratorium was lifted, and the developer snuck in their application during that window, and discarded the guidelines. The guidelines required a setback at 3 storeys and to preserve the view of the historical clock tower, but the developer ignored this to build 6 storeys straight up, the sad irony being that the guidelines still contain this violated requirement. No amount of testimony at the OMB mattered, it was ruled that the guidelines didn’t apply because the development application predated them.

The Murphy’s Law condo at 1684 Queen E also violates the guidelines, and so does this development. While the Queen St building only goes an extra storey, putting an 18 storey tower directly behind it completely negates the purpose of the guidelines in keeping building heights in line with the character of the neighbourhood.

As you can see, the tower planned on Eastern will dominate the landscape for blocks, and any claim this doesn’t set a precedent is false. The community was told the Licks condo was not supposed to set a precedent, but when it came to the Shell station application the developer cited the Licks condo as an example. As if this development isn’t paving the way for another 18 storey tower next door where the Beaches Cinema is. The official plan may have changed, provincial planning laws may have changed, but what hasn’t changed is the community’s desire to preserve the nature and character of our neighbourhood.

The completely useless deception of the urban design guidelines aside, there are more important issues with this development. Like the majority of recent development applications this is another example of overdensity. The WestBeach condo has 89 units, the Queen and Ashbridge condo added 551 units, the Murphy’s Law site has 216 units planned, and now with this development we are supposed to absorb another 328 units? This is not a major transit hub, have any of the planners tried to take the 501 or 503 downtown during morning rush hour? Have any of the planners tried to get childcare in this area, or fought to be first in line to sign their kids up for extracurricular activities? Duke of Connaught is the only public school in the catchment area, and it’s fully at capacity.

If we project future demand none of this makes sense. I won’t go into each item on this list, but if you look at the vacant units section, there are over 46,000 units vacant or under construction.

VACANT UNITS

Units for rent: 8864

Rental units under construction: 5475

Unsold condo units under construction: 10,000

Vacant homes: 2161

Vacant under appeal: 17437

TCHC vacant/under repair: 2770

TOTAL: 46707

The next 30 years will also see over two hundred thousand units become available as the Boomers move on. When you add up all the aged care beds currently and under construction, and then look at the 65 and over population, a generously conservative estimate of all remaining seniors being coupled up in homes means there will be potentially 223,000 housing units that will be vacated within the next 30 years. When the 447,000 seniors not currently in aged care need that type of housing, why are we focused on rentals when the real demand is for senior living communities?

AGED CARE

Private retirement homes: 8996

Long-term Care: 15184

Under construction: 5364

TOTAL: 29544

HOUSING VACANCY PROJECTION

Population 65 and older: 476990

Pop. 65 and older minus aged care beds: 447446

Potential newly vacant units next 30 years: 223723

Canada also just depopulated due to the drop in immigration targets combined with our below-replacement-value birth rates, rates that are declining world round since the 70s. Project these numbers and it makes no sense to build more units for a population likely to plateau or even decline in the next decades. Do these numbers ever enter into calculating how many units we actually need to serve future demand, or are we just blindly building?

Then there is the ongoing issue of affordability. Less than a third of these units are slated to be affordable, and according to staff at the Oct consultation they haven’t even determined what type of affordable that will be. Market rates are unaffordable to anyone not in the top 30% of incomes, if we’re not building ALL units to be affordable we aren’t serving the needs of residents.

I ask every city planner and councillor, how does any of this development frenzy qualify as good planning? It wouldn’t have ten years ago. It’s not based on evidence or best practices or projections of demand, it is purely ideological to prop up flagging economic growth and the profits of the housing industry. Toronto should be fighting the province at every turn, not caving to their environmentally destructive and unsustainable developer-driven agenda. Thank you for your time.

Adam Smith, 21st Century

Refuting 6 Dawes Rd

On Nov 27, 2025 I deputed at Toronto and East York Community Council regarding yet another oversized development planned for 6 Dawes Rd. You can watch the deputation here:

Councillor Moise interrupted me twice, first when I called out Mike Harris and Doug Ford for removing rent controls, and again when I called out the influence of developer donations on the premier, councillors and mayoral hopeful Councillor Bradford.

When Moise first interrupted me I thought there was a technical issue, but people watching live told me nothing happened. The second time it was clear he didn’t like me calling out politicians. What other opportunity does a citizen have to speak truth to power in Toronto other than a deputation? I broke no rules, and if my words are considered slanderous that’s for a court to decide, not the chair of the meeting. The first woman to speak said, ““The Toronto and East York Community Council is a sham, a kangaroo court. Why should we spend our precious time deputing for you? Why should we lend any credibility to your puppet show?” and yet she was not stopped.

Doug Ford is provably in the pocket of developers, the Greenbelt Scandal illustrates this well enough if his rabidly pro development-at-any-cost-policies don’t make it clear. Councillor Bradford too, as developers held a $100K fundraiser for his failed mayoral bid. I didn’t know anything about Councillor Moise until this meeting, and when I looked him up, lo and behold, he is also taking massive amounts of donations from developers, over $10K out of $90K. Not to mention improprieties with a developer appointment to a Moss Park Arena board, his behaviour when imposing the unilateral renaming of Dundas Square, and concerns have led to multiple groups opposing him to spring up, one straight up called stopchrismoise.ca (which has a more comprehensive list of his exploits).

What’s worse, Moise’s developer backers are from Fitzrovia, and who is the developer behind 6 Dawes? Fitzrovia! I can now see why he was trying to muzzle my deputation.

There is no argument that can be made that explains why developers who are neither friend nor family nor constituent would donate to a politician unless it’s to get something in return. That is the definition of being in someone’s pocket, and if Moise wants the same level of financial support in the next election he’s going to protect those developer interests.

Below is my full 5 min deputation (due to the huge number of deputations they reduced speaking time to 3 mins), fully sourced. You can find even more information on the reality of housing in my 2022 platform. If you share my understanding of housing policy destroying the livability of our city please like and share.

Hello, my name is Adam Smith, resident of Beaches East York.

Housing policy in Toronto is unhinged from reality, and 6 Dawes is a prime example, however my comments can apply to most recent development applications in the city, like 985 Woodbine Ave.

The condo boom was built on the notion that small-time investors would buy units and rent them out. But costs were too high for affordable rent, and now many would-be landlords are unable to rent and make a profit. The panic to sell off units has created a glut in the condo market with prices falling dramatically.

Because of this failure developers are scrambling to pivot to building rentals. The 6 Dawes development went from a reasonable 17 storey condo to a massive 56 storey rental tower. Developers don’t build to provide housing, they build to make profits for their investors. A rental building takes far longer than a condo to turn a profit, so the only way to satisfy investors and lenders is to build MUCH larger and charge high rents.

At the community consultation the developer admitted it will be unaffordable to 70% of Torontonians. To put it in context, the average income for a Torontonian is $62,000, and market rent for the average 719 Sq ft unit is $2909, which to be affordable at 30% of income requires making $116,000, nearly double the average. With the condo market crashing with plenty of supply and prices coming down, why would the top 30% of incomes spend their money renting when they can own?

The real source of rentals being unaffordable is a lack of rent controls, in particular vacancy decontrol, thank you Mike Harris. And increasing supply only lowers the price of rentals on the market, it does nothing for existing renters who have seen their rents skyrocket due to a lack of rent controls on newer buildings, thank you Doug Ford.

There is still the question of demand, doing the math between vacant units, units mid-construction, and changing population and demographics. We currently have 6914 apartment rentals on the market (according to Realtor.ca), 6952 condos for rent (according to  Realtor.ca  ), 5,475 rentals and 11,000 unsold condos mid-construction, 2161 vacant homes declared by owners and a whopping 17,437 deemed vacant but under appeal, and TCHC has 679 vacant units and 2091 units vacant but in need of repair. Our homeless population is estimated to be 15,400 people, we could house them all and still have room for future demand.

The next 30 years will also see over a hundred thousand units become available as the Boomers move into retirement homes or pass away. There are 8996 beds in private retirement homes (with 1243 units for couples) and 15,184 LTC beds, for a total of 24,180 beds for seniors. Currently there are only 5,364 new beds under construction for a potential future total of 29,544. At last census in 2021 Toronto has 476,990 people 65 and older. Taking a very loose and generous estimate, if every bed in aged care is taken up post-construction, and the remaining seniors are all coupled up, there are 223,723 housing units that will be vacated within roughly the next 30 years. The real question is, when the 447,446 seniors not currently in aged care need that type of housing, why are we focused on market rentals when the real demand is for senior living communities?

There is also the drop in immigration targets combined with our below-replacement-value birth rates, rates that are declining world round since the 70s. Project these numbers and it makes no sense to build more units for a population likely to plateau or even decline in the next decades.

Take investor profits out of the equation, the current economics still cannot create housing that is affordable. Labour and materials are too expensive, and the more builds the more demand will increase their price. Add in the cost of shoring up our inadequate infrastructure, in particular stormwater drainage and sewage, and the externalized cost of the increase in pollution and carbon emissions, not just from the construction of the building, but also the embodied carbon in all its materials (which we currently exclude). And our lack of electricity capacity, not just for new builds, but also increased demand from electric vehicles and electrification of transit, the phasing out of natural gas, and hotter summers with more A/C usage. All with no clear plan for where Toronto’s future electricity is going to come from.

When you include the other new towers planned around Main Square, it assumes Main Station and Danforth Go can handle thousands more people without ever taking into account the picture from the ground. Morning rush hour crowding at Main Station is returning to pre-lockdown levels, and the Relief Line will be no help farther west. Don’t look to Danforth GO to get downtown, which only has frequent service between 7:13-8:43am and 4:03-5:35pm and is really only good for going to and from Union Station.

Considering all the costs, the lack of infrastructure, a more realistic projection of demand, and the mismatch between incomes and rents, take it from an Adam Smith, the economics don’t add up.

With a premier and councillors and mayoral hopefuls openly and unabashedly in the pocket of developers the city’s hands are tied. Resisting developers will trigger ministerial zoning orders to ram development down our throats. When do we stop catering to the destructive and impossible infinite growth economy and start focusing on a sustainable circular economy?

Housing has become an economic crutch for the flagging growth of secular stagnation, and the powers that be see no other way to keep profits flowing than to just double down on overdensity in the hopes people will keep moving to Toronto, despite the cost of living making it increasingly unattractive. Our urban area population centers are already the densest in North America, but it’s still not enough.

The only rationale that explains why 17 storeys is now required to be 56 storeys is that 6 Dawes is not about housing people, it’s about profits for the housing industry. More density only worsens the livability of our city and takes us further from ever creating the kind of system we need to weather the coming storm of climate change. We need to focus on the 3 Rs: repair, renovate, retrofit, and where it is appropriate to build anew, the economics are clear, only a public housing model can ever provide the affordable housing we need.

Thank you for your time.

Restore the Wards

Hello, my name is Adam Smith; lifelong Toronto resident, father, activist, and two-time candidate for Toronto councillor.  I created the Restore the Wards campaign to convince provincial parties and candidates that restoring Toronto’s wards prior to Ford’s 2018 mid-election slashing was an important issue in the 2022 Ontario election.  Sadly, it was not.

You know the elite have won when the people reject democracy. In 1975, two years into our last era of high inflation triggered by the OPEC oil crisis, Rockefeller and his fellow elites at the Trilateral Commission published a paper called “Crisis of Democracy”.  Do you know what they felt the crisis of democracy was?  An “excess of democracy”.  Yes, ironic as that sounds, they found that too many people exercising their democratic rights was interfering with the elite’s ability to impose their agenda.  Sounds diabolical?  It’s easily found:

The Crisis of Democracy

“some of the problems of governance in the United States today stem from an excess of democracy…  Needed, instead, is a greater degree of moderation in democracy…  the effective operation of a democratic political system usually requires some measure of apathy and non-involvement on the part of some individuals and groups.”

47 years later and it would seem they’ve accomplished their goal.  Voter turnout for the provincial election was an all-time record low at 43%.  With Ford getting 40.88% of the popular vote that means 17.58% of eligible voters gave Ford 100% of the power.  Due to the distortions of our archaic first-past-the-post electoral system, the NDP had just shy of quadruple the number of seats of the Liberals, and yet the Liberals had more of the popular vote, while the PCs now have a super majority, controlling over 66% of seats.

The Restore the Wards campaign was a dismal failure.  Not only did it not pick up steam with the public, very few candidates beyond the NDP pledged to restore the wards, and only two Liberals and nearly a dozen Greens pledged.  From reactions on social media I can tell you that the majority of people seem to think less democracy is a good thing, that less politicians is always a move in the right direction. 

Cynicism and distrust is super high, people who complain about never being heard and having no say are ironically clamouring for less representation and more concentration of power.  And whether they realize it or not, that means they are asking for even more elite and unaccountable politicians, because with larger wards it will be even harder for someone lesser known and independent to ever get a foothold  against a candidate with elite connections and a deep election war chest.  City hall will become even more overtly partisan.

The longer Toronto stays in 25 wards the more likely it will remain this way, and we will continue to have the least amount of municipal representation for a city our size in the developed world.  It’s always been obvious to some that we don’t actually live in a free and democratic society, that ultimately the elite run the show and we’re all just along for the ride.  Unfortunately more people are finally waking up to that reality, it’s just too late to do anything about it.

It’s a shame to end this campaign on such a sour note.  I truly believed what Ford did to Toronto was a travesty and an attack on democracy, but very few seem to agree, and so many seem not to care.  Which is exactly where the elite want us.  They strived for “apathy and non-involvement”, now it’s clear they have it. 

I will continue trying to fight for increased democracy and a more equitable society, I encourage others to do so too, but the elite have the public so well-divided and thinking only of themselves that such a goal seems ever more a fantasy.  Stay well everyone…

Adam Smith, 21st Century